Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. It was the evening of June 9 when things really started going awry. Initial returns for the European parliamentary elections were reassuring for investors, with mainstream parties set to retain control, despite gains for populist forces. Then Emmanuel Macron weighed in. The French president's party had been soundly beaten by Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally and so, in an attempt to regain the initiative, Macron called a snap election. That decision plunged the European Union's second-biggest economy into months of market turmoil and political uncertainty from which it has only partially emerged. Since then, the bad news has been piling up across the region. WATCH: Macron warns that the EU could die if it doesn't boost its competitiveness with China and the US. Source: Bloomberg Germany, the EU's traditional powerhouse, is mired in recession, its car industry is fumbling the transition to electric vehicles and suffering from the slowdown in China, while a €30 billion ($33 billion) semiconductor plan based on troubled Intel is unraveling. US tech giants are turning their backs on the 27-nation bloc because of restrictions on AI. Even Spain, traditionally one of the most pro-EU members, is taking potshots at its trade policy. Europe's politicians have been slow to catch on to the scale of the problems, and now they are bitterly divided over what to do. It looks like a tipping point for the European project. The world is changing quickly and if the EU fails to catch up, it risks being permanently relegated to a second tier of global powers. To be sure, living standards aren't about to collapse. The EU has surmounted existential crises before. But the longer the current trends persist, the greater Europe's vulnerability will become. — Ben Sills Former Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Brussels on Sept. 9. Photographer: Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu/Getty Images |
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