Monday, September 2, 2024

Supply Lines: Cars, ships and carbon

Global automakers have more options for reducing carbon emissions in their supply chains beyond going electric and checking on the provenanc

Global automakers have more options for reducing carbon emissions in their supply chains beyond going electric and checking on the provenance of their battery ingredients. But like most things, it'll come at a cost.

Last month, in sweltering heat during a ceremony at a Chinese shipyard that featured traditional lion dancers and colorful firecrackers, Norway's Höegh Autoliners named a new China-built car carrier — the largest, most environmentally friendly one ever built. 

It's just one of a total of 12 that Oslo-listed shipping company is building with China Merchants Heavy Industry, in the eastern Chinese shipbuilding hub of Nantong, with a total price tag of $1.2 billion. 

The first vessels will run on liquefied natural gas, biofuels and low-sulfur oil. The goal is that from around 2027 the last four ships would use ammonia. Supply of that fuel remains limited and costs prohibitive.  

How quickly that happens depends on carmakers' willingness to transition to new fuels, as well as how rapidly regulators move to push the industry to reduce or cut emissions altogether by slapping on carbon taxes. 

As pressure mounts, Höegh foresees more companies seeking out all sorts of ways to cut emissions, including so-called scope-three emissions that include those generated while goods are in transit. 

Read More: World's Biggest Car Carrier Warns Charter Rates Will Come Down

Höegh said fitting the new vessels in a way that gives customers the choice of fuel, adds between 5% to 10% to the cost of a ship. It's confident it can pass that cost to customers, partly because it adds a modest 1% to the price of a $30,000 to $40,000 car.

Demand Outlook

"We believe demand will increase and the regulators will tighten," Chief Executive Officer Andreas Enger said. 

Mirjam Peters, Höegh's chief customer sustainability officer, says there's been a noticeable uptick in inquiries about options for reducing emissions in the supply chain — even though shipping emissions are not the largest contributor to the auto industry's overall carbon footprint. 

"Transportation in general is not the biggest headache of our customers — instead it's the emissions during lifetime of a car," she said. "Our idea is that we make them aware already, even though they might not be ready today, because they have bigger issues, one day they will need us."

Read More: Chinese EV Makers Suffer Setback in Europe as Tariffs Start

Shipping accounts for 3% of global emissions. Regulators are giving the operators a long leash to reduce their carbon footprint. The International Maritime Organization is requiring fleets to cut 20% of their emissions by 2030 and 70% by 2040 on their way to eliminating them entirely by 2050. The ultimate goal will be unreachable without carbon-free energy sources like ammonia.

One thing's certain: Shipping is not going to disappear any time soon. 

"We all buy our things overseas — cars, our goods, we like to eat strawberries in January in Germany," Peters said. "New vessels that bring things in a more environmentally friendly way are going to make a big difference."

Colum Murphy in Beijing

Click here for more of Bloomberg.com's most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping.

Charted Territory

Profits return | The global container shipping industry saw profits surge to more than $10 billion in the second quarter on record volumes and rising freight rates after Red Sea diversions, according to a new analysis. Net income for the world's major container carriers, including Maersk and Cosco, almost doubled from the first three months of the year and topped the $8.88 billion haul from the second quarter of 2023, according to a report released Saturday by industry veteran John McCown.

Today's Must Reads

  • China has threatened severe economic retaliation against Japan if Tokyo further restricts sales and servicing of chipmaking equipment to Chinese firms. Meanwhile, China's factory activity contracted for a fourth straight month in August.
  • The US has requested dispute settlement consultations with Canada over the northern country's digital services tax, arguing the levy is unfair to American firms and violates a continental trade deal.
  • Turkey has formally asked to join the BRICS group of emerging-market nations as it seeks to bolster its global influence and forge new ties beyond its traditional Western allies, according to people familiar with the matter.
  • South Korea seeks more flexibility and incentives from the US to encourage Seoul's compliance with additional curbs on advanced semiconductor exports to China. Separately, South Korea's export growth returned to a double-digit clip last month.
  • Djibouti's government plans to offer Ethiopia exclusive access to a new port to defuse tensions sparked by the landlocked nation's ambitions to have a direct route to the sea.
  • Switzerland's Gotthard tunnel, a key north-south link for Switzerland and Europe, fully re-opened on Monday after almost 13 months of repairs that followed a train derailment in August last year.

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • Tensions between Taiwan and mainland China have entered a new, elevated stage, according to Bloomberg Economics' Taiwan Strait Security Index, implying heightened geopolitical risk in the Strait.
  • The Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore was alerted to an allision between Singapore-flagged vessel MAERSK SHEKOU and tall ship STS LEEUWIN II in the Port of Fremantle, Australia, according to an emailed statement from the agency.
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • See DSET CHOKE for a dataset to monitor shipping chokepoints. 
  • For freight dashboards, see {BI RAIL}, {BI TRCK} and {BI SHIP} and {BI 3PLS}
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

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