Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. For all the talk of a political earthquake in Germany, the nationalist right's success in two state elections in the former east came with plenty of warning. The impact is reverberating through Berlin regardless. As projected, the Alternative for Germany placed first in Thuringia yesterday, the first time the far right has won a regional election since the days of the National Socialist German Workers' Party, better known as the Nazis. The anti-immigration, pro-Russia AfD took second place in the neighboring state of Saxony. In truth, the shock is overdue: The AfD was already the second-largest bloc in each state parliament. Nationally, its breakthrough was in 2017 when it became the main opposition party in the Bundestag. Neither is it any great surprise that the AfD was able to capitalize on a weak federal government beset by economic stagnation, tensions over migration and persistent infighting. But the message the result sends is still a serious one. Thuringia is picture-postcard Germany; Saxony is its semiconductor hub. Voters in each state have shown that 35 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the country's east and west have never been more divided politically. Attitudes to Russia are one core difference. Among yesterday's big winners was a new party called BSW, which mixes left-wing economic positions with opposition to immigration and to arming Ukraine. From nowhere, it placed third in both states and may enter government in each. Federal policy is not made in the state capitals of Erfurt or Dresden. But the prevailing sentiment there may become hard for Berlin to ignore as the next federal election due in September 2025 rolls nearer. That's something that cannot have escaped one former inhabitant of Saxony — Vladimir Putin, who as a young KGB officer was posted in Dresden during the Cold War. — Alan Crawford An AfD supporter in Thuringia. Photographer: Hannes P Albert/picture alliance /Getty Images |
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