Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Keir Starmer cracks the whip

The Readout

Here at the Readout, we began the week watching from behind our hands as the government seemed to be caving in to its first rebellion over the two-child benefit cap. Indeed, the prime minister's team spent Monday preparing the public for an imminent U-turn, with no less than Starmer himself hinting it would be reconsidered.

And yet, the government has shown no such wobble. In fact, they took the opposite approach and have now suspended the whip from seven MPs for six months for defying the leadership on the issue. Relenting this early on would have given Labour backbenchers a taste for rebellion — instead they've had a taste of punishment. 

Here's Bloomberg's Joe Mayes, who has spoken to key government officials involved: "The battle over the two-child cap was like a virility test for the new administration, arguing it couldn't be seen to lose its first fight with the left-wing of the Labour party...The swift suspensions are also a sign of Starmer wanting to instill strict party discipline on voting, even with the cushion of having won power with a working majority of 180."

Keir Starmer before his first Prime Minister's Questions today. Photographer: Betty Laura Zapata/Bloomberg

Quite. Elsewhere, Labour is boxing smarter. Yesterday, fellow Readout author Ailbhe Rea reported ministers are meeting with environmental groups to figure out how to fulfill one symbolic pledge of the government without making a Horlicks of another: building 1.5 million homes, but not wrecking the countryside while they do so.

One major stumbling block for housebuilding is the nutrient neutrality rules: EU-era legislation that requires developers to mitigate river pollution caused by building. Back under the last government, the Labour opposition blocked this change to allow more housebuilding — but now they're in power, they're reconsidering how to "unlock housing" while "improving outcomes for nature."

People involved in the matter say the fix is likely to be as follows: "The new government will not scrap the environmental rules altogether, but will pursue an approach that allows pollution mitigation to take place alongside development."

The gist of this appears to be similar to another policy lever used by the last government — a National Strategic Mitigation Pot, where developers put in cash to pay for nature efforts elsewhere. And of course, environmentalists will be reminded of Labour's plan to totally decarbonize the grid by 2030, meaning that ultimately their agendas are aligned. 

Business appears happier with the new government. This survey of companies shows the election result produced a surge in confidence, hiring and also new orders. Will the increase in hiring bode ill for hopes of inflation — and interest rates — going down? We'll find out what the Bank of England thinks next week.

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What just happened

The stories you need to know about this evening

Cyclists are taking over Paris for the Olympics

piste cyclable in Paris Photographer: RICCARDO MILANI/AFP via Getty Images

The frenetic pace of the busiest bike lanes in Paris takes some getting used to.

Even on the narrowest routes, a conveyor belt of riders zips along, seemingly attached. When traveling at pace, a rapid procession of traffic lights and pedestrian crossings assail those on wheels. And the rules at junctions vary. An upside-down triangle sign indicates cyclists can roll through in at least one direction, while giving way to pedestrians. A flashing orange light means proceed with caution. It's a lot for a visitor to take in.

Very soon, however, potentially a million or more visitors will be doing just that, encouraged to use the city's new Olympic cycling network for this year's Games.

Read more from Laura Laker.

What they said

"When our middle class is strong, America is strong."
Kamala Harris
US Vice President
Harris set out her platform in running for the US presidency in her first campaign rally.

Banker behind $1.7 trillion Japan rally says it's just starting

One key story, every weekday

Hiromi Yamaji Photographer: Kentaro Takahashi/Bloomberg

The man who helped spark a nearly $2 trillion rally in Japanese stocks says the rebound is just getting started.

Hiromi Yamaji, whose unconventional reforms and globe-trotting sales pitches have helped make Japan one of the world's best performing equity markets, sees no reason why the nation's stocks can't keep rising after reaching an all-time high this month.

Read The Big Take.

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Allegra Stratton worked for former Prime Minister Rishi Sunak when he was chancellor and runs an environmental consultancy, Zeroism.

Please send thoughts, tips and feedback to readout@bloomberg.net. You can follow Bloomberg UK on X.

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