Wednesday, July 3, 2024

Climate tech’s ‘valley of death’

Green Daily
Barriers for climate tech |
Alastair Marsh for Green Daily

Today's newsletter looks at a new gap emerging in green financing: Some innovators are now too advanced for venture capital, but not advanced enough for infrastructure investors. You can also read and share the story on Bloomberg.com. For unlimited access to climate and energy news, subscribe.

JPMorgan, Barclays see barriers for climate tech

By Alastair Marsh

Accelerating climate change is forcing humanity to reimagine how it uses and sources energy, feeds itself, heats homes, uses land and so on. 

It's also prompting a rethink of how investors and bankers finance companies developing critical green tech.

The industries that should be thriving at this stage of the energy transition — batteries, green hydrogen, "clean" steel— are square pegs that don't fit in the round hole of capital markets. The latter are well-suited to asset-light companies but inhospitable to capital-intensive, asset-heavy energy businesses. As a result, many promising green-tech innovators aren't getting enough money — and dying on the vine.

"The evolution from science project to commercial outfit can be one of the hardest to pull off, especially in an economy where our capital stack was built for digital innovation rather than hardware advances," said Chuka Umunna, JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s head of ESG and green economy investment banking for Europe and the Middle East. "Helping innovative companies clear the commercial valley of death will require us to think differently about capital."

That "valley of death" is the final resting place for firms too advanced to interest venture capitalists who make small, speculative bets on nascent tech, but too small and unproven to attract infrastructure investors that write the really big checks. 

Bankers familiar with financing energy-transition startups say one hallmark of companies stuck in the valley is they don't have any sales yet. Another indicator is the size of a company's funding need, with those seeking capital in the $20 million to $100 million range
being prime candidates.

Barclays Plc calls this gap the missing middle. "We need to find ways to invest in technologies to the scaling point," Barclays Chief Executive Officer CS Venkatakrishnan said last week at the Bloomberg Sustainable Finance Forum in London. 

S2G Ventures, a $2.5 billion investment firm focused on venture and growth-stage businesses, said in a 2023 paper that what's needed is "capital focused on supporting companies that have matured out of the venture stage, but have not yet scaled and de-risked adequately to access infrastructure-type capital." That funding is "vital to the successful gestation" of such companies, the firm wrote.

C.S. Venkatakrishnan Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg

Of the $270 billion of energy transition-focused private capital raised between 2017 and 2022, venture capital accounted for $120 billion, or 43%, while private equity and infrastructure-focused funds raised $100 billion, or 37%, according to S2G. That means late-stage venture and growth-focused funds accounted for the remaining 20%.




"Today's lack of adequate, fit-for-purpose growth equity is a fundamental barrier to realizing the energy transition," S2G said. "The siloed nature of today's capital markets creates a range of barriers to effective progress on the energy transition."

Just as with all aspects of the energy transition, traversing the so-called valley of death will require determination and ingenuity on the part of financiers.

Celine Herweijer, chief sustainability officer at HSBC Holdings Plc, said achieving economy-wide decarbonization by mid-century is a daunting challenge — but it's an imperative.

"The clock is ticking," Herweijer said at a London Climate Action Week event last week. "We have to lean in and put capital to work in areas that are more risky, technologies that are more nascent, or markets where, even with mature technologies like renewables, the cost of capital is higher."

Sustainable finance in brief

More financial firms are bowing to right-wing attacks on sustainable investing. AllianceBernstein Holdings LP left the group Climate Action 100+, following in the retreating footsteps of JPMorgan and Pacific Investment Management Co. by exiting the world's largest alliance through which investors can fight global warming. The departure is the latest in a broader pullback by US-based financial firms fearful of further criticism by Republicans seeking to protect the fossil fuel industry. Still, CA100+ said the group counts "well over" 600 members representing more than $50 trillion of assets under management, even after the latest departures. 

Photographer: Christopher Furlong/Getty Images Europe
  • There's a growing list of institutional investors in Europe who are stripping oil and gas stocks out of their portfolios.
  • Companies accused of misrepresenting their progress on tackling climate change are increasingly finding themselves the target of litigants.
  • The market for carbon credits is facing a renewed wave of opposition as climate activists deliver a fresh warning to companies and governments not to use such financial instruments to offset their emissions.

More from Green

A rare incident has happened in the world of unregulated carbon offsets. Carbon offsets developer C-Quest Capital LLC said it reported former Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Newcombe to US federal law enforcement for his role in allegedly issuing millions of environmentally worthless carbon credits linked to clean cooking projects. 

A woman lights a stove in India. Photographer: T. Narayan/Bloomberg

C-Quest's decision to involve the authorities doesn't often happen in this market, where companies voluntarily buy credits that support sustainability projects in a bid to make up for their own pollution. Cases of over-crediting have been widespread, and a string of greenwashing controversies have raised serious questions about whether buyers should use offsets to claim they're making progress in the fight against global warming.

Speaking to Carbon Pulse, an industry publication, Newcombe denied the allegations and described them as part of an investor plot to seize control of C-Quest.

Meanwhile, other types of offsets are under the microscope. An industry watchdog group has found that some credits linked to projects that capture and destroy methane from landfills may not deliver their promised impacts.

AI is testing Silicon Valley's climate pledges. Google's emissions climbed by almost half over five years, as the company has infused artificial intelligence throughout many of its core products.

Biden calls climate skeptics "stupid." President Joe Biden has been out touting measures to better protect communities from extreme weather, including plans to impose the first-ever federal standards to shield US workers from heat stress.

We're also reading

As southern Europe swelters in extreme heat exacerbated by climate change, Nordic tourism agencies are pitching their region as a place where travelers can safely explore the great outdoors in the middle of summer. An increasing number of travelers are choosing "coolcations," visiting less-trodden Scandinavian sites and boosting the region's $124 billion tourism industry along the way.

Hardangervidda National Park in Rjukan, Norway, in June 2023 Photographer: Marek Molnar/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Weather watch

By Brian K Sullivan

Furnace Creek, California, home of the visitor center at Death Valley National Park, will reach 122F (50C) on Wednesday, and temperatures will climb even further as the week goes on, according to Jenn Varian, a National Weather Service meteorologist.

Photographer: Eric Thayer/Bloomberg

Saturday is expected to hit 127F and Sunday 129F, which would tie a record for the date. The all-time high in Death Valley is 134F set on July 10, 1913.

The hot, dry air is also raising the wildfire risk and bringing critical conditions to southern Idaho. A larger area, including parts of Northern California, is facing an elevated threat, the US Storm Prediction Center said.

In other weather news:

Hurricane Beryl: Hurricane Beryl churned toward Jamaica with violent winds, heavy rains and a life-threatening storm surge that could cause more than $1 billion in damage.

Zambia: The World Bank has approved a further $200 million of grants for Zambia to help the nation cope with its worst drought in decades, according to a statement from the Finance Ministry.

Worth a listen

Tackling climate change now requires not just reducing planet-warming emissions to zero, but also drawing down existing carbon dioxide from the air. Over the past few years, tech companies have taken the lead to seed hundreds of startups that want to sell carbon removal credits and help companies meet climate goals. But the failure of a major startup, Running Tide, has raised questions about the long-term viability of this market. This week on Zero, we hear from Nan Ransohoff, head of climate at Stripe, and a pioneer of the carbon-removal market. Listen now, and subscribe on Apple or Spotify to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.

See you in Seattle!

The world needs radical solutions to address global warming and climate change. Join us in Seattle July 10-13 for the inaugural Bloomberg Green Festival, a groundbreaking celebration of thinkers, doers and innovators leading the way into a new climate era. The festival will immerse attendees in solutions-driven experiences with world-renowned experts to inspire climate action. Secure your tickets today.

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