Monday, July 29, 2024

Campaign in prose, govern in more prose

The Readout

Hi there, it's Helen Chandler-Wilde, a Bloomberg UK journalist and editor of the Readout. Hope you enjoy today's newsletter.

"Campaign in poetry, govern in prose," goes the saying attributed to former Governor of New York, Mario Cuomo.

This year, Labour have taken it a step further. First they campaigned in prose, insisting that every promise in their manifesto be fully costed and lambasting other parties for not doing the same. Now in power, they have turned up the realism, governing less in prose than in bullet points, in what seems to be a bid to prepare the country for spending cuts, tax rises, or possibly both. 

In a speech to Parliament this afternoon Chancellor Rachel Reeves laid out the financial problems as she sees them. Before taking office, she believed Labour had the worst inheritance since the Second World War. But after arriving at the Treasury three weeks ago, she apparently discovered things were even worse than feared, finding "unfunded commitment after unfunded commitment" and a level of overspend that "was not sustainable."

Rachel Reeves earlier this month Photographer: WPA Pool/Getty Images Europe

Chief among those is a £22 billion funding black hole in the public finances left by the last government, which she said "cover[ed] up the true state of the public finances." Bloomberg Economics somewhat agrees, saying that £20 billion needs to be found by 2028-29 to prevent cuts. 

Part of the issue, she said, was that the last government last had a spending review in 2021 – meaning the inflation spike and jump in public sector pay were not factored into budgets, something she said was "almost unprecedented." 

Reeves told Parliament that money would be found through various measures, including reducing the use of hotels to house asylum seekers and reviewing transport funding. There will also be a multi-year spending review, which will set departmental budgets for the next three years. 

But it's not all tightening: Reeves said she would accept the recommendations of public sector workers in full, committing to a substantial additional £9 billion in spending this year. 

Markets had a subdued reaction to the speech, with the pound close to flat for the day. 

Bear in mind that this was just a first taster of Labour's economic plan. Also in her speech today, Reeves announced that she would deliver her first budget on Oct. 30. Perhaps she'll be able to give us a little bit of poetry by then.

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What just happened

The stories you need to know about this evening

And they're off

In Friday's edition of the Readout we looked at the Tory leadership race. As it stood then, there were four contenders: former Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride, former Foreign and Home Secretary James Cleverly, former Security Minister Tom Tugendhat and ex-Immigration Minister Robert Jenrick. Over the weekend, former Home Secretary Priti Patel threw her hat into the ring as well. 

But the bookies' favorite was a candidate who hadn't even announced their intention to stand – former Business Secretary Kemi Badenoch.

Badenoch, then business secretary, in our London offices last month Photographer: Jason Alden/Bloomberg

Turns out the bookies might have been onto something: Badenoch has now formally entered the race, writing an op-ed in The Times calling for a renewal of principles-based leadership and a politics where the "government [does] some things well, not everything badly."

The six candidates were today officially announced by Bob Blackman, chair of the 1922 committee, hailing the start of the contest. Over the next few months candidates will be whittled down from six to two by the group of Conservative MPs, then from two to one by party members, with a winner announced on November 2. 

If you need a guide to distinguishing all six candidates, we have one here.

Who's winning at the 2024 Olympics?

The 2024 Olympic gold medal Photographer: Nathan Laine/Bloomberg

Throughout the Olympic Games, Bloomberg is tracking medal results for all events and the number of medals won by each country, which will take GDP and population into account, to deliver a unique snapshot of which countries are punching above and below their weight.

Find the data searcher here.

The big number

£1 billion
Value of Newcastle United after Amanda Staveley sold her stake to the club's Saudi owners.

How Trump became a crypto believer

One key story, every weekday

It was supposed to be a cryptocurrency conference, but it could've easily been mistaken for a Trump rally.

At an event where vendors hawked red hats reading "Make Bitcoin Great Again," the crowd erupted in applause when Donald Trump vowed to fire Gary Gensler, the Securities and Exchange Commission chair, and replace him with regulators who love the digital-asset industry should he return to the White House.

"I pledge to the Bitcoin community that the day I take the oath of office, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris's anti-crypto crusade, it will end," Trump told the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville on Saturday, comparing crypto to the steel industry a century ago. "If Bitcoin is going to the moon," he added, "I want America to be the nation that leads the way."

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