Thursday, May 9, 2024

Supply Lines: China export rebound

China's shipments abroad rose a little more than expected in April, adding to signs that the world's biggest exporter will help global trade

China's shipments abroad rose a little more than expected in April, adding to signs that the world's biggest exporter will help global trade rebound from a soft 2023.

The data released Thursday confirmed signs that demand is perking up around the world, adding momentum to a fledging Asian factory rebound. Beijing is relying on strong sales abroad to offset weak consumer spending at home, where a real estate slump has led households to tighten their belts.

China's exports were slower to some major developed economies where worries about cheap imports are growing. The groundswell of complaints about China's factory output keeps getting louder, but there's no sign Beijing is ready for fixes that might backfire on its vulnerable economy.

Regional Strength

Underneath the headlines, today's report showed:

  • Sales to the US were little changed while exports to European Union fell
  • Shipments to the Asean bloc of southeast Asian nations, in contrast, were up almost 13%
  • A jump in imports across many trade partners, with shipments from the US, South Korea, Taiwan, the Netherlands and Russia all rising more than 10%.

David Qu, an economist covering China for Bloomberg Economics, had this to say in a research note on the Terminal: "The return of export growth in April after the prior month's drop suggests global demand for China's products remains resilient" and that suggests "trade is likely to keep supporting the economy's overall expansion."

Other Asian trading nations also saw overseas sales climb last month on strong US demand. South Korean exports rose almost 14%, while Taiwan reported a record level of shipments to the US.

Related Reading:

Brendan Murray in London

Click here for more of Bloomberg.com's most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping.

Charted Territory

Chip components | China imported more than a billion dollars of goods from the Netherlands last month, an increase that came despite the recent imposition of controls on the sale of equipment to produce semiconductors.

Today's Must Reads

  • President Xi Jinping is set to announce a range of new investments in Budapest as he touts Prime Minister Viktor Orban's Hungary as a model for what the European Union's relationship could look like with the world's second-largest economy. 
  • In Indonesia, there are signs the private sector is increasingly concerned about the government's trade policy including a new import license rule that curbs thousands of foreign-made goods.
  • Shopify is facing an uncertain economic environment and tepid consumer spending, while the sale of its logistics business to Flexport also weighed on financial results.
  • Typhoon activity in the Northwest Pacific region is expected to be about 20% below normal this year, forecaster Tropical Storm Risk said in its first outlook of the season. Meanwhile, April was the Earth's 11th consecutive month of record-breaking heat.
  • Air India's low-cost airline has canceled more than two dozen additional flights, and expects disruptions to continue for days, after cabin crew called in sick en masse.
  • Botswana President Mokgweetsi Masisi met with executives from SpaceX's Starlink unit who expressed an interest in obtaining a license to operate in the southern African nation. 

Coming Up

Bloomberg Supply Chain Intelligence Series: Unpredictability in global politics, industrial policies, financial markets and climate patterns have heightened the need to understand the intricacies of supply chains – and pinpoint where risk lies. The goal of this series is to shine a spotlight on major trends and issues that are shaping global supply chains and how these trends are impacting corporations and investors in those corporations. Register here

Qatar Economic Forum: On May 14-16, join heads of state, global business leaders and technology innovators in Doha to identify solutions to the major issues driving global boardroom conversations. Learn more here.

Bloomberg is sponsoring the upcoming Gartner Supply Chain Symposium/Xpo 2024. To connect with top supply chain solution providers meeting in Barcelona, Spain, from June 10-12, click here for more information.

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • The Teamsters' Canada Rail Conference's recent vote to authorize a strike as early as May 22 poses a significant near-term risk to traffic at the Canadian rails, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.
  • Commercially essential vehicles will be allowed to traverse the Port of Baltimore from Wednesday evening to Friday morning before explosives are used in the salvage operation, port authorities said. 
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • See DSET CHOKE for a dataset to monitor shipping chokepoints. 
  • For freight dashboards, see {BI RAIL}, {BI TRCK} and {BI SHIP} and {BI 3PLS}
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

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