Thursday, February 1, 2024

Supply Lines: Korea’s export rebound

Factories in trade bellwether South Korea enjoyed an increase in domestic and international orders, boosting purchasing and employment and s

Factories in trade bellwether South Korea enjoyed an increase in domestic and international orders, boosting purchasing and employment and stoking optimism for the year ahead.

"Manufacturers believe that 2024 will be a year for improvement," said Usamah Bhatti, an economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

The purchasing managers index released Thursday for South Korea, Asia's third-largest goods exporter, rose to 51.2. That's the first time since mid-2022 that it's been solidly above 50 — the dividing line between contraction and expansion.

Other figures published Thursday showed South Korea's exports for January maintained growth momentum. The biggest driver has been memory chips. Semiconductor exports increased 56% from a year earlier in January, the customs office said, in the biggest rise since December of 2017.

"The better news is that the export recovery is spreading out to other major export items," Min Joo Kang of  ING Economics wrote in a research note. "It could be temporary, but in January, machinery, home appliances, and display products all moved up."

Read More: Samsung's Profit Falls on Uneven Chip Demand Recovery

China reclaimed its position as the biggest buyer of South Korean products in January after temporarily losing it to the US a month earlier. 

Similar factory improvements were seen in major trading nations across the region, according to their PMI readings out today:

  • Indonesia posted a region's best 52.9, followed by the Philippines at 50.9.
  • Vietnam's PMI crossed above the 50-mark to 50.3 after five months in the red, buoyed by stronger demand in both onshore and overseas markets.
  • China's factory activity shrank again, with the official manufacturing purchasing managers index reading 49.2.
  • Japan's PMI reading stood a 48 and Taiwan's hit 48.8 — both improvements from a month ago but still in contraction zone.

Related Reading:

Brendan Murray in London

Charted Territory

Fuel costs rise | Attacks by Houthi militants on merchant shipping are boosting the price of diesel in Europe. Since the start of the year, the wholesale cost of fuel delivered into northwest Europe has jumped by 12% to just over $116 a barrel, according to figures from General Index compiled by Bloomberg. Red Sea trade disruption isn't the only factor, but a hike in freight costs due to Houthi attacks is contributing.

Today's Must Reads

  • The UK plans to reduce trade friction on goods flowing between Great Britain and Northern Ireland, a move which fell short of an overhaul of Brexit rules but is still expected to persuade the Democratic Unionist Party to end its boycott of the region's devolved government.
  • US companies expressed increased optimism about China's near-term business environment, according to a new survey, though many are still holding off on investing. Separately, China's government pledged to keep spending this year despite challenges.
  • The US launched two separate strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen and intercepted a missile fired by the Iran-backed group, as the fallout from the Israel-Hamas war continues to roil the region.
  • Five of the world's major carmakers aren't sufficiently mapping their supply chains to stamp out links to forced labor programs in China's Xinjiang region, according to a report by Human Rights Watch.
  • Boeing's leader offered a public mea culpa as the planemaker detailed its response to a string of quality lapses that culminated in a near-catastrophic panel blowout on a 737 Max.
  • Travelers in Germany were warned to prepare for delayed and canceled flights as security staff at the country's biggest hubs strike for a day following unsuccessful pay negotiations.

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • The Commerce Department says the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity agreement related to the supply chain will enter into force on Feb. 24, according to statement.
  • Switzerland will ban the import of Russian diamonds and some commodities that it says generate significant revenue for Russia's economy, mirroring recent sanctions announced by the European Union.
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • For freight dashboards, see {BI RAIL}, {BI TRCK} and {BI SHIP} and {BI 3PLS}
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

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