Friday, December 1, 2023

Greetings, earthlings!

Thinking about extraterrestrials.

Hi, it's Tim in Munich. Lately, I've spent time speaking to scientists about a rather bizarre topic: aliens. But before we get into that … 

Today's must-reads

  • Parched rivers, withered crops show the stark damage caused by an historic drought in the  Brazilian Amazon

  • Ozempic knock-offs contain an unsafe substance banned by the FDA.

  • Indeed, the online job-search company, is the latest business to cancel a beneficial perk introduced during the pandemic.

  • When researchers said satellite data showed their facilities had leaked huge  amounts of methane, these companies began questioning the scientific analysis.

How to greet another life form

Concerned with the dangers of AI? Consider, for a moment, the risks of another form of exotic intelligence.

What would happen, say, if an alien spaceship appeared in the skies over Nebraska? Politicians would probably panic. The military may send up fighter jets. And someone might just start shooting.

Anticipating these reactions isn't a hobby for Andreas Anton. A sociologist who teaches at the University of Freiburg in Germany, he is part of a growing group of scientists engaged in exosociology, a field that looks beyond the earthly realm to consider — and prepare for — first contact with aliens. And Anton's concern isn't so much their intentions but rather our response.

"If we make one dumb mistake, it could be our last," Anton warns. He has been mulling these matters since his grandparents regaled him with talk of aliens in his childhood. He still goes out on clear evenings in southern Germany and gazes up at the stars, wondering what could be out there.

No one knows if aliens really exist, but recent scientific breakthroughs — from discovering that microbes can thrive in near-boiling environments to the fact that billions of other Earth-like planets may exist — suggest they might. And we're increasingly well-positioned to capture the evidence thanks to technology like high-powered telescopes and remote-controlled rovers. Even the US Congress recently held hearings on "Unidentified Aerial Phenomena," objects once known as UFOs.

To Anton, that makes it high time for society to engage in a wider conversation about how a first encounter might play out. How might that impact our politics, societies, economies and more? Do we have any responsibilities toward alien life?

Anton and like-minded scientists are building a body of literature to address these questions in journals, conferences and with networks like the SETI Post-Detection Hub at the University of St. Andrews in Scotland. The hub, an outgrowth of the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, describes aims to coordinate experts like Anton and also consider humanity's social response to a possible alien encounter.

The researchers envision a variety of potential trigger events, like a radio signal from a far-off civilization. Our collective response might depend on several variables: Are we able to decode the message? If so, is it friendly or threatening? What distance is it coming from?

The most extreme scenario involves aliens showing up in our skies. Lacking a precedent for how to react, many risk falling back on lessons from science fiction — say, the Hollywood movie Independence Day — in which aliens are portrayed as looking to destroy or enslave humans.

To prevent a disastrously aggressive response, Anton and his colleagues aim to consider what could happen, "so that someone could say, 'Mr. President, here's a published protocol and we should perhaps pay attention to the following.'" —Tim Loh

The big story

After mass shootings at a movie theater in Colorado and an elementary school in Connecticut, Mark Bryant went online in search of answers. He wanted to know how often these types of shootings happened. The answers were next to impossible to find.

Now, a decade later, Bryant runs the Gun Violence Archive, the sole repository of near-real-time data on shootings in the US. But tracking, logging and verifying the tens of thousands of shootings that take place in the US every year is a daunting task that's taking a physical and mental toll.

"I thought that facts mattered. I've now watched an entire decade of history, science and facts be vilified," Bryant told Bloomberg's Madison Muller. Read more in Businessweek.

What we're reading

Speaking of resilient life forms, Japanese researchers just found a new bacterial species at deep-sea hydrothermal vents in the Pacific Ocean.

The Atlantic reports that hypnotherapy could help patients find relief from gut disorders.

Scientists created tiny self-assembling robots from human cells that could one day heal damaged tissue, Nature writes.

Ask Prognosis

Ask us anything — well, anything health-related that is! Each week we're picking a reader question and putting it to our network of experts. So get in touch via AskPrognosis@bloomberg.net.

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