Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Supply Lines: Where clothes are made

Global apparel and footwear makers like Adidas to Nike have been shifting some of their supply chains out of China for the past decade.The m

Global apparel and footwear makers like Adidas to Nike have been shifting some of their supply chains out of China for the past decade.

The moves, initially driven by lower operating costs, have lately been pushed by mounting geopolitical tensions between China and the west.

But China remains the world's top clothing exporter — about one-third of all garments globally come from its factories — and the limits of the viable alternatives may have been reached, as Bloomberg reports today.

US and European brands say they want to further cut ties with China to reduce potential political risks. But finding established production locations elsewhere brings challenges: a lack of skilled workers, insufficient raw materials, or underdeveloped infrastructure and logistics networks.

The latest headwind is a weakening of consumer demand, which makes the investment in expansion or the pursuit of a China-plus-one sourcing strategy even less attractive.

So some Chinese garment manufacturers that have built factories in Vietnam and other Southeast Asian nations have retreated back to China, our story explains. Some paused expansion to reduce potential losses.

Read More: US Expands China Forced-Labor Embargo, Banning Firms 

While there's ongoing discussion on reducing reliance on Chinese raw materials to avoid escalating sanctions, that's going to be tough to do. The Vietnamese clothing industry, for instance, still relies mostly on Chinese-made buttons, thread, labels and packaging, with only about 30% to 40% of such materials made domestically.

And even if the drive to shift production and raw material sourcing away from China, it remains to be seen if customers are willing to pay a higher cost.

"Therein lies the dilemma," said Michael Laskau, a Vietnam-based businessman who links local apparel manufacturers and overseas buyers. "Customers want the fabric produced in Vietnam but they don't want to pay the price. They want everything to be as cheap as it can be."

Related Reading on Bloomberg.com:

—By Bloomberg News

Charted Territory

Contracting again | China's factory activity fell back into contraction in October, while an expansion of the services sector unexpectedly eased, signaling that the economy remains fragile and is in need of support. The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index slipped to 49.5 this month from 50.2 in September, according to a statement from the National Bureau of Statistics on Tuesday. That compares with an estimate of 50.2 in a Bloomberg survey of economists. The non-manufacturing gauge, which measures activity in the construction and services sectors, declined to 50.6 from 51.7, lower than the forecast of 52. The 50 level separates growth from contraction. 

Today's Must Reads

  • General Motors reached a tentative contract agreement with the UAW, bringing an end to a six-week-old strike. Meanwhile, UAW President Shawn Fain has made clear where he'll direct his energy next.
  •  Caterpillar earnings topped analysts' estimates thanks to higher prices and strong sales in the third quarter, even as the machinery maker sees a decline in its order backlog.
  • European Union officials voiced their shock after Australia's top negotiator pushed back from a potential trade deal with the 27-nation bloc for the second time in a matter of months.
  • Samsung Electronics predicted the long-depressed memory chip market is heading for recovery, after reporting profit for the third quarter well ahead of analyst estimates. 
  • US President Joe Biden on Friday will host almost a dozen leaders from throughout the Americas as his administration establishes a new forum to bolster regional competitiveness.
  • Africa's first major lithium project without Chinese funding is set to bolster US ambitions of developing its own battery-making industry.
  • Russia plans to boost diesel shipments from its main western ports by more than half next month as the nation's oil refineries processes more crude, its domestic fuel market stabilizes and an export ban that roiled October flows is reversed.
  • The US terminated Uganda's preferential trade status, the latest in a series of punitive measures against the East African nation over its draconian anti-LGBTQ laws.
  • Ties between China and a powerful Myanmar armed group that controls a key source of tin are fraying, threatening to prolong what have already been months of supply disruption for the key metal.

Coming Up

The sixth annual Bloomberg New Economy Forum returns to Singapore Nov. 8-10 as the world's most influential leaders gather to address the critical issues facing the global economy. This year's theme is "Embracing Instability." Request an invitation here.

Join Bloomberg's "Supply Chain Resiliency: Risk & Mitigation" event in Detroit on Nov. 16 for an afternoon with our research analysts & subject experts to discuss trends, risks, and innovative ways to monitor and manage critical supply-chain elements -- especially their impact on the auto industry. To register for the free, in-person-only event, click here.

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • Container liners pushed through strong rate hikes last week; Shanghai-Europe rates jumped 32% week-over-week as negotiations for the long-term contracting season begin. The latest hikes narrowed the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index's year-to-date decline to 5%, though industry dynamics remain unfavorable, Bloomberg Intelligence says.
  •  South Korea sees exports recovering from a year-long slump this month, in an encouraging sign for its economic growth prospects and for global commerce.
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • For freight dashboards, see {BI RAIL}, {BI TRCK} and {BI SHIP} and {BI 3PLS}
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

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