Last week, prosecutors told a federal judge they were "seeking detention" for Bankman-Fried. The defense objected that they had not been warned about the DOJ's motion, and Judge Lewis Kaplan, of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, ultimately chose to set a schedule for each party to file written submissions on the motion.
So the question remains: Will SBF go to jail ahead of his trial?
Prosecutors certainly hope so. The DOJ filed a letter Friday saying Bankman-Fried has now twice tried to interfere with witness testimony, saying he tried to tamper with general counsel at FTX.US in January before he "crossed a line" this month in sharing Ellison's diary with the Times.
Mark Cohen, one of Bankman-Fried's attorneys, said Bankman-Fried was merely asserting his First Amendment right to defend his reputation, adding that there have been a "million" negative articles about him and "thousands" of articles about his relationship with Ellison.
In a filing on Tuesday, he went further, alleging the DOJ had "mischaracterized" Bankman-Fried's alleged witness tampering and taken facts out of context to disparage him..
One attorney with experience in white collar litigation, who asked for anonymity to speak candidly about the case, told CoinDesk:
"The difficulty there is 'what is tampering,'" the attorney said. "I would look specifically at the evidence they're using and whether it can be viewed subjectively."
The attorney said they would also expect another hearing on the issue, noting that Bankman-Fried could appeal any revocation of his bond.
Orlando Cosme, the founder and managing partner at law firm OC Advisory, said judges have a lot of discretion with issues like bond revocation.
"Generally people have free speech over what's called protected speech. Intimidating witnesses is not protected speech," he said.
Ken White, a founding partner at Brown White and Osborn LLP, told CoinDesk that the judge wouldn't like a defendant trying to influence or retaliate against a witness.
"The question is how much the judge sees that as attempting to harass and influence a witness versus his lawyer saying [he's just] putting his story out there and countering the media narrative about how terrible he is," White said.
He said Bankman-Fried's choice to speak to journalists and authors ahead of the trial is "astoundingly dumb."
"He doesn't know what's bad and what isn't," he said. "... He really doesn't understand the sort of theories behind the government's charges and what admissions by him are harmful to him."
The DOJ will have to be able to convince the judge that Bankman-Fried will continue harassing and intimidating witnesses or otherwise continue violating judicial orders to win its motion, White said.
Prosecutors have until tomorrow to respond to the defense filing.
One added wrinkle is that the DOJ announced it would drop one of the eight charges it brought, campaign finance, due to treaty obligations with the Bahamas.
The announcement spurred a lot of high-profile individuals to claim there was a conspiracy by elite politicians to protect Bankman-Fried.
Quite a bit of ink has been spilled calling this conspiracy theory dumb, but it's absolutely worth spilling a little bit more to ensure these kinds of things don't distract from what is looking to be a weeks-long trial beginning in early October that CoinDesk will cover every step of the way.
Cosme – who once interned with the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Eastern District of New York – said prosecutors are not the type to bend to political games.
While prosecutors may butt heads with the political appointees in their offices at times, typically if there's a serious disagreement the career prosecutors will resign if they feel uncomfortable, he said.
White said that the campaign finance charge isn't worth potentially violating an extradition treaty, given all of the other charges Bankman-Fried still faces.
"People were saying … 'well, you know, the government breaks various treaties all the time, why don't they just tell the Bahamas to pound sand?' And the reason is, there's absolutely no reason to do it," White said. "He's on the hook for fraud in the amount of billions of dollars. The guideline levels are basically an imaginary number, and campaign finance fraud charges are miniscule in comparison, they don't have any marginal additional weight. So it's like, the government's not gonna sweat it if they can't prosecute a parking ticket while charging murder one."
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