President Xi Jinping's biggest shake-up in years serves what might seem to be a counterintuitive purpose: stability. China's annual parliamentary pageant kicks off on Sunday. It comes as Xi replaces a generation of internationally respected economic officials with a clutch of politicians better known for strong ties to the president. Key reading: Creating stability will be the name of the game for Xi as he heads into the National People's Congress. He's wrestling with a fragile economic recovery, and spiraling tensions with the US. Early signs of growth since Covid Zero restrictions were lifted have pleasantly surprised authorities and may help restore faith in the country's social contract — the promise of prosperity in exchange for fewer freedoms. Sustaining that momentum is critical for Xi who faces an increasingly skeptical public and even sporadic protests over the fallout from his pandemic management. Avoiding anything that destabilizes the country's $60 trillion financial sector is another key focus. Whether that be over bankers dubbed "hedonistic" last week by China's top anti-graft watchdog or financial institutions, Xi looks set on increasing his oversight. Getting a handle on all these domestic challenges could pave the way for a more strident China that's willing to take a harder line on other issues including the democratically governed island of Taiwan, which Beijing regards as its own territory. Restoring a lasting calm at home will give Xi more breathing room, allowing him to tackle worsening ties with the US and its allies. While US President Joe Biden's administration expands restrictions on China's access to strategic technology, Xi has resisted retaliatory moves that could blow back on his own economy. Chinese officials have even sought to portray China as a neutral mediator over Russia's war in Ukraine. But if Xi can successfully tamp down the uncertainty at home, that may well increase his appetite to take on more risk abroad. — Rebecca Choong Wilkins |
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