Tuesday, March 7, 2023

An icy reception

The Readout With Ruth David

As the UK shivers through an Arctic blast, the government has unveiled new legislation to provide an icy reception for all migrants crossing the English Channel in small boats. "Anyone entering the country illegally will be detained and swiftly removed," Home Secretary Suella Braverman told Parliament this afternoon.

Migrants in a dinghy sail in the Channel toward the south coast of England  Photographer: GLYN KIRK/AFP

It's unclear, though, where exactly they will be deported to — an injunction from the European Court of Human Rights grounded the government's Rwanda plan back in June last year.

Braverman said some 45,000 people entered the UK on small boats crossing the Channel in 2022, and the government estimates illegal migration costs UK taxpayers £3 billion a year. Critics of the new bill predict it will end up in courts, without tackling the issue.  

Therese Raphael writes for Bloomberg Opinion: "Even if it survives legal scrutiny, a policy that would make it all but impossible for asylum-seekers to claim refuge doesn't reflect well on Britain, a country that has benefited enormously from migration — some of them even producing the odd cabinet member."

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What just happened

The stories you need to know about this evening

Britain's losing streak

Europe to the East, the US to the West — Britain's losing streak continues. Bank of England policy maker Catherine Mann warned the pound could weaken further as investors absorb the implications of plans by the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank to raise interest rates.

Mann told Bloomberg Television today that she is worried about whether the UK economy can grow without sparking inflation, a legacy of Britain's decision to exit the European Union and thousands of people over age 50 dropping out of the labor market since the pandemic. 

Catherine Mann during a Bloomberg Television interview Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg

A group of business leaders is calling for the government to come up with initiatives to rival President Joe Biden's Inflation Reduction Act. Biden's move was a "game changer" that incentivizes companies to pick the US over the UK for green investments, the Institute of Directors said. Building materials business CRH may not be the last firm to encouraged by the IRA to reject its London listing in favor of the US.

Company earnings calls are now being used for check-ins on whether they will stay public in the UK. Ashtead Group, a US-focused business listed in London, said today it is committed to remaining in the city. Still, Ashtead is unusual in that it enjoys a premium valuation versus its closes rival, US-listed United Rentals. 

Meanwhile, there's a steady stream of businesses looking to take listed companies off the UK market. John Wood Group today said it rejected a £1.64 billion buyout offer from Apollo Global Management as too low. This is New York-based Apollo's fourth proposal. 

Intriguingly, Macquarie Group's chief executive officer today said recent reports of her firm's proposed takeover of UK fund manager M&G were speculation: "There's so many speculated transactions so we wait and talk about them once they're actually done," Shemara Wikramanayake said at the AFR Business Summit in Sydney. 

No wonder that the Labour Party, with an eye firmly on the next UK general election, is pushing for a review of the country's business tax regime to boost investment. "What businesses need are certainty, consistency and incentives for investment," Labour's shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves told manufacturing sector leaders at a conference on Tuesday. "Labour will provide that."

The only silver lining we can see today is for homeowners, with latest data from mortgage lender Halifax showing that UK house prices in February rose at the quickest pace since June. The million pound question is whether those gains continue into March. 

Banks to boost hiring to fill electronic-trading roles

More than half of US sell-side firms plan to add headcount in electronic-trading equities roles in the next year and a half, according to a survey of 25 firms by Coalition Greenwich. Almost 30% say they expect to add headcount in execution and analytics consulting, while roughly a quarter report plans to hire in algorithmic sales.

What you need to know tomorrow

Get ahead of the curve

Divided. China's new foreign minister warned that soaring US-China tensions risk blowing past any guardrails in the relationship.

Banking tech. Wall Street has "some work to do" before using popular technology such as ChatGPT, Bank of America's CEO warned.

'Dovish hike'. Australia's central bank signaled a pause in its 10-month tightening cycle.

Cake-filled drama. The Great British Bake Off Musical, inspired by the TV program, is on in at the Noël Coward Theatre until May 13, 2023.

Love is in the air. Valentine's Day spenders helped boost UK retail sales in February despite sky-high inflation.

A place to plug in? Electric car charging is the newest workplace perk, writes Olivia Rudgard.

The big number

 $400,000
US President Joe Biden is proposing a tax hike on high earners to fund Medicare.

The risk Wall Street doesn't want to think about

One key story, every weekday

A "debt clock" in New York City counts up the national debt. Photographer: Fatih Aktas/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Financial markets are showing little sign of concern that US lawmakers will fail to reach an agreement to raise the debt ceiling and avert a default. Most investors assume that in this game, the consequences of not raising the ceiling are so terrible they will ultimately be intolerable to both sides. 

Read The Big Take.

Please send thoughts, tips and feedback to readout@bloomberg.net. You can follow Ruth on Twitter.

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