Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Tories, turkeys and tough times ahead

First they came for the humble omelette (see The Readout last week!) and now it's not just the turkeys for this Christmas in jeopardy but al

First they came for the humble omelette (see The Readout last week!) and now it's not just the turkeys for this Christmas in jeopardy but also next year's: "The damage has been done. Almost half of free-range birds for Christmas have been culled or died as a result of [bird flu]," says Bloomberg's enviably titled Food Czar Agnieska de Sousa. "Next year is looking even worse."

I'm no turkey fan so can cope with this, but there's more. Bloomberg's Katie Linsell reports on stats showing prices rising at a 7.4% pace in November — the fastest rate since 2005, when Tony Blair was PM and (Is This the Way to) Amarillo was blaring out of our radios.

Photographer: Nathan Stirk/Getty Images

People are skipping meals and skimping on presents too: Katie's piece has Ernst and Young showing "nearly half of UK consumers plan to spend less over the holiday season, with a third buying cheaper gifts for friends and family." That's if you can get there — here's Bloomberg's guide to train strikes in December.

But enough! The Readout has scoured the cornucopia of Bloomberg reporting today to find you grappling hooks of hope to cling on to. Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill kindly supplied one at an event this morning. He expects UK inflation to start falling next year, if natural gas prices stabilize and then drop. He also said he didn't think borrowing costs would rise as much as financial markets have priced in. Thank you, Huw. And Craig Stirling reports that euro-zone inflation slowed for the first time in 18 months — glimmers in the gloom.   

Want this in your inbox each weekday? You can sign up here.

What just happened

The stories you need to know about this evening

  • A Buckingham Palace aide resigned after making "unacceptable and deeply regrettable comments" to a Black guest
  • Labour leader Keir Starmer called on Rishi Sunak to end the "scandal" of tax breaks given to private schools in the UK.
  • Jiang Zemin, the Chinese leader who presided over more than a decade of dramatic economic growth following the bloody 1989 crackdown on protesters in Tiananmen Square, died at 96.  

Is the Big Bang enough?

There's been much chatter about the lack of a government agenda or ideas for growth in Bloomberg coverage over the last few days.  

The government certainly has to show how Brexit can be made to work better as every day brings new eminent voices raising their worries. Today Huw Pill (the very same) added his voice to Bank of England opinion that Brexit made UK's financial woes worse (it caused job shortages, strengthened price pressure and drove up inflation — the hit to GDP, the Bank thinks, will be 3% within 15 years). 

Perhaps in an attempt to get a grip on this, overnight saw No. 10 briefing that a long-awaited "Big Bang" in banking could arrive imminently. Alex Wickham reports here that the government will do this by relaxing the ring-fencing of banks brought in in the wake of the financial crash in 2008, separating retail from investment banking.

"Banks had asked the Treasury to scale back the ring-fencing of retail and investment banking," writes Alex.

"Small lenders had said they would like to cut the amount of loss-absorbing capital they are required to hold." 

"Ring-fencing doesn't work," Tim Adams, CEO of Institute of International Finance, said on Bloomberg TV this morning. "It makes a more brittle system, it precludes institutions' capacity to move capital around to their best uses." 

Photographer: Dan Kitwood/Getty Images Europe

Bloomberg Opinion's Adrian Wooldridge weighs in on why the search for growth, by a governing party of 12 years' standing, matters. His piece this morning, as so often, is a reminder of the long view

Wooldridge has read, with a fine tooth comb, two recently-released blockbuster politico-books documenting first the downfall of Boris Johnson and then the downfall, just five weeks later, of Liz Truss. Two very different characters with a similar flaw, he suggests: An inability to sweat public service delivery. "They didn't focus enough on delivering policy and improving the lives of the people who sent them to Downing Street."

He goes on to say the new PM "has a good track record of crafting and delivering policies." Even so, he concludes, "it is probably too late for the Conservative party."

This paragraph sums it all up: "The two books are full of insider gossip, like Victorian three-bird roasts [lucky them] involving various fowl stuffed into each other for Christmas feasting. Both volumes also, if unintentionally, demonstrate that the British political system needs serious fixing if the country is to have any chance of addressing its poor productivity, decaying infrastructure, collapsing health-service and struggling education system." 

The top London properties frozen in time

Many of these stately homes are empty and collecting dust.  Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg 

Bloomberg's Jack Sidders and Sam Dodge map out the London properties owned by sanctioned Russian oligarchs.

What you need to know tomorrow

Get ahead of the curve

What went wrong? This is Bloomberg's guide to the UK's government bond crisis in September. 

Big Tech takeover. The UK's internet watchdog is increasingly being led by former Silicon Valley executives. 

Floating home. High mortgage rates, elevated property prices and a search for space are driving interest in houseboats. 

Council in crisis. A local English authority has reported a loss of nearly half a billion pounds after a series of investments backfired.

Social media matters. Facebook and Twitter have their problems, but they play a critical role in helping uprisings against autocratic regimes, writes Bloomberg Opinion's Parmy Olson.

TikTok's viral challenges keep luring young kids to their deaths  

One key story, every weekday

Photographer: David Kasnic for Bloomberg Businessweek

It's taken just a few short years for TikTok to dominate social media. Its viral challenges became a mainstay during the pandemic and have become a defining part of the platform.

Some are harmless enough — like dancing routines. Others are dangerous — like the blackout challenge where kids choke themselves until they pass out. When underage kids easily slip through restrictions and find them, the results can be tragic. So why isn't the biggest app in the world doing more to protect children?

Read The Big Take

Please send thoughts, tips and feedback to readout@bloomberg.net. You can follow Allegra on Twitter.

No comments:

Post a Comment

How Much Can You REALLY Make Trading Just 30 Minutes A Week?

                                                                            Replace A Full-time Salary With Just 30 Minutes Of Trading A...