Stresses in US supply chains and shortages of materials continue to dissipate, but tight labor markets, tempered consumer demand and excess inventory represent growing challenges for producers. That summarizes the latest handful of regional Federal Reserve surveys of manufacturers as the central bank prepares on Wednesday to raise interest rates again to tamp down persistent price pressures. Read More: Fed's Jobs Mandate Takes a Back Seat in Inflation Fight Product lead times for manufacturers largely improved across most regional Fed districts, based on recent surveys of October activity. A measure of supplier deliveries for producers covered by the Richmond Fed showed the fastest times since 2009, when the US was in a recession. In the Kansas City Fed region, one manufacturer acknowledged that the "supply chain is better, overseas shipments are cheaper and faster, helping reduce prices paid for materials." One key reason for the overall improvement in delivery times: Softer demand is helping clear a transportation pipeline once stuffed with raw materials, components and finished products. Read More: The Richmond Fed's orders index shrank the most since 2009, when excluding the immediate aftermath of the pandemic. In Texas, the bookings gauge contracted for a sixth straight month, while manufacturers in the Kansas City and Philadelphia Fed districts registered their fifth months of shrinking orders. But producers are still having a tough time with staffing — a message that Fed officials will take on board as they convene for their meeting this week in Washington. Here's how manufacturers in the Dallas and Kansas City Fed regions assessed the labor market: - "Our production constraint has shifted from supply chain to labor," said one respondent in the Dallas Fed's survey released Monday.
- Said another: "Inflationary pressure is reducing orders while supply-chain pressure eases, so we have excess inventory for our customers."
- One respondent to the Kansas City Fed's survey said that "labor is still hard to find," while another said they were "struggling with finding competent and reliable employees."
—Vince Golle in Washington |
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