Monday, August 1, 2022

When beer's a bust

Kirin turns to health care

Konnichiwa from Kanoko in Japan, where people consume about one liter less of alcohol annually than the global average. The population is shrinking and demand for adult beverages is on the decline, a combination that's crimping domestic sales and leading some companies to move in new — potentially healthier — directions. But first ...

Today's must-reads

  • Moneypox is spreading fast, and kids are getting caught in what the WHO says is just the tip of the iceburg 
  • Some doctors are losing their enthusiasm for Pfizer's Covid-19 pill Paxlovid, especially for people who have been vaccinated 
  • While Jazzercise is more than 50 years old, the ground breaking exercise company that's gotten millions of people to dance is still going strong, thanks in large part to its willingness to adapt 
  • Covid-19 vaccines reformulated to target the most recent strains of the virus will begin rolling out earlier than expected in the US, where the government has already ordered 171 million doses from Pfizer and Moderna  

A brewer's search for growth

Kirin, Japan's second-biggest brewer, is looking beyond beer as consumers in Japan are drinking less and many are trying to be more health conscious after more than two years of the Covid-19 pandemic. 

As the World Health Organization calls for stricter rules on digital marketing and urges governments to set higher prices to discourage the drinking it says leads to three million deaths a year, Kirin is reducing its reliance on beer. What's the next big focus area? Health care. 

"I feel that more regulations are to come, and future of the beer business will probably be very difficult," said Takeshi Minakata, head of the health science business at Tokyo-based Kirin. "There is a certain risk to continue to rely on the alcohol industry forever."

The company's response to the changing global trends is in contrast to bigger rivals like Anheuser-Busch InBev and Asahi Group, who are doubling down on alcohol and investing in higher-end businesses like craft beers.

Cans of Kirin on the production line  Photographer: Tomohiro Ohsumi/Bloomberg

Kirin aims to generate 500 billion yen ($3.8 billion) in health care sales over the next decade by starting contract manufacturing for pharmaceutical ingredients, expanding its food additives and supplement operations and acquiring new businesses. The brewer has a budget of 200 billion yen for acquisitions and will borrow if necessary, Minakata said.

The company is especially confident about its prospects in the dietary supplements business as the market is growing and the products are made with the fermentation technology Kirin has long cultivated through making beer. The global market is expected to hit $307 billion as personal disposable income grows and consumer awareness rises, according to market research. 

"Handling microorganisms is in Kirin's DNA, we are quite good at it," Minakata said. "It has a really high potential."

Kirin's move reminds me of another high-profile Japanese company that wasn't initially big in health care: Fujifilm. 

The company known for its prowess in photographic film turned to health care two decades ago, building new businesses based on its original technology and buying others. Fujifilm's investment paid off, with its health care unit generating 44% of its operating income for the year ended in March.

Will Kirin find the same measure of success? Only time will tell. — Kanoko Matsuyama

What we're reading

For ringside physicians at M.M.A. fights, deciding when and if to stop a match is more complicated than it seems. The implications may not be known for decades, the New York Times reports

The Supreme Court's decision to overturn abortion rights in the US is likely to put the high court back in the spotlight on related issues, including potential bans on mail-order medicine used during the procedure and interstate travel to get an abortion, according to the Washington Post. 

The rising number of Covid-19 hospitalizations triggered by the BA.5 variant more than two years into the pandemic has Eric Topol, director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute, worried about what's to come. He talks about the risks in a Q&A with New York Magazine

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Ask us anything — well, anything health-related that is! Each week we're picking a reader question and putting it to our network of experts. So get in touch via AskPrognosis@bloomberg.net.

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