Friday, July 1, 2022

Toxic environments

With Allegra Stratton

Welcome to The Readout, the new daily newsletter from Bloomberg UK.

It's July, but we can't stop thinking about winter. If it's not preparation for an energy crunch in colder months, then — whisper it — it's low-level strategizing about how to deal with a resurgent Covid-19.

As Bloomberg Opinion's Therese Raphael and Sam Fazeli of Bloomberg Intelligence put it: "The question used to be: 'Have you had Covid?' Now it's 'How many times have you had it?'" Today's ONS Covid survey results show a 32% rise in infections in the week to June 24. An estimated 1 in 30 people in the UK have the virus — some 2.3 million people. And yet pandemic superstar Jonathan Van Tam, England's former deputy chief medical officer, describes Covid as moving "much, much, much closer to seasonal flu." 

Covid cases rising and Conservative MPs doing toxic things? The Readout feels it's seen this movie before.

Testing times. Photographer: Justin Tallis/AFP

What just happened

The stories you need to know about this evening

Climate politics turns toxic

Dissenting Justice Elena Kagan called it "frightening." Bloomberg Opinion columnists said the US Supreme Court's decision to limit the Environmental Protection Agency's powers were a "wrecking ball" to President Joe Biden's bid to halve emissions by 2030.

Our reporters saw slightly more nuance. The EPA "isn't knocked out, but doing its job just got much harder," Leslie Kaufman wrote in today's Bloomberg Green newsletter. (Sign up here.)

Germany also had a swing, pushing other world leaders at this week's G-7 summit to allow financing for new gas projects. That would dilute agreements reached at last year's COP26 meeting (where I worked for the UK government).

According to Bloomberg's Jess Shankleman (a must-follow on climate matters), the UK pushed back. The compromise allows some new fossil fuel projects, so long as they're described as "temporary". Shankleman's view is G-7 leaders just made success at COP27 harder." Even Germany's own climate envoy is unhappy, she reports.

On the home front, ex-Brexit supremo Lord Frost today opened fire on the UK's net-zero ambitions, calling for more gas-fired power stations to deal with a gas-supply crunch. If they are not built, he contends, we will end up with power rationing.

We revealed yesterday how National Grid is war-gaming winter. Their sequencing is not far off rationing. Senior energy industry figures suggested to The Readout yesterday that the UK could hoard liquefied natural gas coming to the UK that's destined for Europe. Others messaged today warning Norway could retaliate later in winter.

With these kinds of conversations going on, Lord Frost is right to ask questions about energy security. But is gas the answer to a gas crisis? Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng would certainly disagree.

Frost asserts that renewables make energy supplies more expensive. Yet just last week Prime Minister Boris Johnson said he will overhaul energy markets, to stop pricing electricity by the highest marginal gas price rather than the lower rate for renewable power. Johnson called the current situation "ludicrous".

Here, EV sales are rising, up 17.7% in May, to 15,448 cars. It's still a fraction of the total, but is the rise in gas prices finally making EVs competitive? A viable market second-hand market for used EVs is needed to tempt regular cash-strapped families to make the switch.

Gas will play a role as the world weans itself off Putin's fossil fuels. But this week the wrecking balls aimed at net zero didn't knock out all of their low-carbon targets.

Copper nears the bottom

Copper sank below $8,000 a ton, hitting its lowest since early 2021, as deepening fears about a global economic slowdown drive a rout in industrial metals markets. Copper — widely considered a barometer of the world economy — slumped as much as 3.5% on the London Metal Exchange, to $7,970.50, extending losses after its worst quarter since the start of the pandemic.

What we're reading this weekend

Get ahead of the curve

Why, why, why? Max Chafkin skewers the Silicon Valley evangelists doggedly pushing "Web3" on a world that doesn't want it.

Inside a £55 million house. Gucci's one-time London HQ is now the most expensive house on the market in Mayfair.

Life beyond London. Dubai is the newest hedge fund hotspot.

Past the peak. Andrea Felsted's charts don't lie: that luxury watch you couldn't afford is now slightly less unaffordable.

A disappearing art. Mexico City's hand-crafted taco stands are being quietly erased.

The big number

$1.4 trillion
The total wealth lost by the world's 500 richest billionaires so far in 2022. Elon Musk's fortune plunged almost $62 billion, Jeff Bezos's by $63 billion, while Mark Zuckerberg's net worth was slashed by more than half.

How travel hell hit Europe

One key story, every weekday

A departure hall at Schiphol airport, Amsterdam, in April. Photographer: Ramon Van Flymen/AFP

Travelers in Europe are paying ever more for a plane ticket, but have less chance of actually making it to their destination.

Almost 8,000 flights were axed in June from the UK, France, Germany, Italy and Spain — almost triple the number in the same period in 2019. Meanwhile, the a flight this week from London to Alicante in Spain costs more than three times as much as a year ago. Paris-New York fares have tripled since March 2019. Instead of a roaring post-Covid comeback, the global aviation industry is stumbling, turning once-routine trips into an odyssey.

Read The Big Take.

What happens next

Your early warning system

Saturday 
Annual Pride march — 50 years since the first parade.

Monday 
British Chambers of Commerce quarterly economic survey.
Resolution Foundation annual Living Standards Audit.

Follow all Monday's early news in The London Rush, live on Bloomberg UK from 8 a.m.

 

Please send thoughts, tips and feedback to readout@bloomberg.net. You can follow Allegra on Twitter. The Readout is edited by Adam Blenford.

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