Speaking to government officials these days, I am struck by how many point me not to a think tank policy or a ministerial briefing, but to what the public is doing. As the cost of living increases the discussion is whether people are already using less fuel: driving more slowly, taking the bus, cycling. Will "demand destruction" be the theme of next winter? You can see it across today's news agenda; The agony of rising fuel prices saw protesters brought the M4 to a standstill; the Resolution Foundation warned that poor families were "brutally exposed" to rising prices; meanwhile, business are preparing for further increases. Traffic along the A12 in Essex. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg There's a limit to what government can do. They may find more billions to make further cuts in fuel duty. But a recent 5p cut was little-noticed by the public and quickly swallowed up by further price rises. (Sunday's joint op-ed by Johnson and Chancellor Rishi Sunak was an attempt to make people aware of another upcoming tax policy.) On Thursday, the competition watchdog will respond to a query from Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng on whether retailers passed on the duty cut. The watchdog could help but it will be marginal. Meanwhile, over in Germany, there are fears that entire industries could collapse in the face of Russia's energy squeeze, and the country has just recorded its first monthly trade deficit in 30 years. There are calls for autobahn drivers to slow down. Hamburg is talking about rationing hot water. "Salvation, if it exists, will come from all of society conserving energy," Bloomberg Opinion columnist Andreas Kluth writes. Today, Javier Blas also predicts a major "demand response" push as European politicians try to manage company consumption, similar to National Grid plans we reported on last week. As Rachel Morison revealed, this winter there will be a financial incentive for Britons to avoid using peak time energy. Experience tells me that it's hard to feed and bathe small children before (say) 6pm; with energy costs sky-high, though, many people will have a go. Actively calling on UK voters to change their behavior is very dangerous territory. With energy prices so high, ministers don't think they need to. That doesn't mean they aren't praying for it. |
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