Harris’ razor-thin lead

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Sept. 27, 2024

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Photographer: Doug Mills/The New York Times

Read the story The most recent poll of swing state voters by Bloomberg News/Morning Consult shows Kamala Harris with a razor-thin lead in the tight 2024 presidential race. The results suggest that Harris is benefiting from a campaign that focuses on her economic agenda, all but neutralizing Donald Trump's long-held advantage on the issue. As the campaign goes into its final sprint, if Harris' support remains at 50% or higher in key swing states, Trump will have to bring new likely voters into the electorate in order to overtake her. As one Morning Consult analyst points out, the former president has successfully done just that in the past: "Donald Trump's political magic, when he's been on the ballot, is to bring in voters from the periphery who may not be in likely voter samples."  Read The Big Take.

Listen to the podcast For the past year, Bloomberg News and Morning Consult have been polling voters in swing states. Today, senior editor Wendy Benjaminson joins the Big Take DC to dig into how this polling works and what we can learn from the results. Subscribe and listen on iHeart, Apple and Spotify.

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