Anyone betting that Europe's industrial engine was poised for a second-half rebound received a rude awakening Wednesday. "The latest developments have proved to be something of a cold shower for those expectations," ING economist Carsten Brzeski wrote in a research note. "Not the relieving kind on a hot summer's day, but rather an ice cold shower in the winter when the central heating is broken." Brzeski was referring to monthly purchasing managers' reports that showed, among other down arrows, a deeper contraction in Germany's factory sector, which has been in retrenchment mode for two years. Read More: Euro-Zone Activity Grounds to Halt on Surprise German Slump France's manufacturing PMI surprised on the downside, too, failing to reach expansion territory for an 18th straight month. According to David Powell of Bloomberg Economics, Germany is worse off than France, with "declines in both manufacturing and services, suggesting the country is having to cope with a depressed industrial sector and the anticipated recovery in services from a boost in real incomes appears to be delayed." Read More: The US Economy Is Slowing, Which Is Just Fine With the Fed France's economy "may be receiving a boost from the Olympics and is moving beyond the hiccup caused by the French parliamentary elections and the volatility in the government bond market," Powell wrote in a research note on the Bloomberg Terminal. In the euro area more broadly, the manufacturing PMI reading fell to the lowest level of the year. In a worrying sign for inflation-fighting central bankers, input prices increased at a faster pace across the economy, according to the PMI data, and output prices fell only fractionally. Related Reading: —Brendan Murray in London Click here for more of Bloomberg.com's most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping. |
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